Those who wager on sports and win consistently understand the game in ways that others simply do not

There’s a good reason this is the very first link on this blog which references something taken from the wonderful blog operated by Henry Abbott (True Hoop).

=======================

A Professional Gambler’s take on the Tim Donaghy Scandal
If you are able to correctly ascertain which collection of players (a team) is better than another team and by precisely what margin, then you are certainly qualified to make decisions as to what players are worth.

Some of my most successful bets were the result of trades or acquisitions. More often than not I am able to accurately forecast how these changes would impact the teams involved.

Take the Shaquille O’Neal for Shawn Marion trade from this season as one example. I immediately knew this trade would not work out and backed it up with a very large bet (several really) that involved Phoenix not advancing in the playoffs and not winning the Western Conference.

A sports bettor and a GM are both faced with the task of making tough decisions. We arrive at our conclusions (or at least should) in a very similar manner, both the bettor and GM are taking significant risk in that if our suppositions fail be correct, we suffer. Any distinctions between what I do in my NBA betting, and what a GM does in assessing the merits of a certain trade or move are purely superficial.

At least that’s how I feel. Whether or not anyone agrees with me is another matter altogether.

=======================

Co-sign … to each & every word.

If you read nothing else about understanding the NBA, and the people who work in this business, do yourself an enormous favour and devour this entire article/interview … concerning a most interesting character by the name of Haralabos Voulgaris.

Worth more than twice its weight in gold … and, simply, mandatory reading for anyone who loves this game.

PS. Kudos to you, Henry! … for being first with this side to the story.

Advertisements

Tags: , , , ,

7 Responses to “Those who wager on sports and win consistently understand the game in ways that others simply do not”

  1. fluxland Says:

    I read that yesterday and thought of you immediately.. I was going to leave a message on here to the effect of:

    Your identity had been revealed!!!

    LOL..

  2. Raps Fan Says:

    great article khandor. the premise is sound. i contend that if phoenix made that trade in the offseason, their result may have been better (hard to change a philosphy mid-season). great find man.

  3. khandor Says:

    Flux,

    🙂 🙂 🙂

    Have a great weekend.

  4. khandor Says:

    Raps Fan,

    You’re most welcome.

  5. Arsenalist Says:

    No arguments here, Las Vegas knows more than any analyst, insider and probably even more head coaches.

  6. khandor Says:

    Arsenalist,

    With all due respect, IMO, ‘Las Vegas’, as an entity, doesn’t know more about basketball or the NBA than an elite level (i) coach, (ii) former player, and (iii) a consistently winning sports wagerer.

  7. Vegas Sports Insiders. | 7Wins.eu Says:

    […] The Spider's Craft – Copyright © Free-Picks.com Sites you may be interested in Those who wager on sports and win consistently understand the game in ways that others simply do not… Tags picks basketball picks football stock picks sports predictions fantasy football This […]

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s


%d bloggers like this: