Legitimate Contenders in the NBA: Part V

The NBA Playoffs start tomorrow afternoon and the final Quality Ratings (QR) & Quality Index Rankings (QIR) for the 2007-2008 regular season are now etched in stone.

NBA Playoff Teams 2007-2008
Quality Rating & Quality Index Rankings   
(End of Regular Season)

TEAM

W-L

Win%

PDR

PAR

RDR

QR

QIR

EC

WC

Boston

66-16

.805 ↑

1

2

3

6

1

1

 

Detroit

59-23

.720 ↑

2

1

7

10

2

2

 

Houston

55-27

.671 ↑

9

4

2

15

3

 

5

New Orleans

56-26

.683 ↓

6

5

10

21

T-4

 

2

Dallas

51-31

.622 ↓

10

6

5

21

T-4

 

7

Utah

54-28

.659 −

4

13

4

21

T-4

 

4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

San Antonio

56-26

.683 ↓

8

3

12

23

7

 

3

Cleveland

45-37

.549 ↓

16

9

1

26

8

4

 

Philadelphia

40-42

.488 ↓

14

7

6

27

9

7

 

LA Lakers

57-25

.695 ↑

3

19

8

30

10

 

1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Orlando

52-30

.634 ↑

5

11

16

32

11

3

 

Atlanta

37-45

.451 ↓

19

15

9

43

13

8

 

Washington

43-39

.524 ↑

15

12

14

41

12

5

 

Toronto

41-41

.500 ↓

12

10

22

44

14

6

 

Phoenix

55-27

.671 ↑

7

25

25

57

15

 

6

Denver

50-32

.610 −

11

29

21

61

16

 

8

 Legend:
W-L – Won Loss Record; Win% – Winning Percentage; PDR – Points Differential Rank; PAR – Points Allowed Rank; RDR – Rebound Differential Rank; QR – Quality Rating; QIR – Quality Index Ranking; EC – Eastern Conference Playoff Position; WC – Western Conference Playoff Position 
Note:

1. Since 2000-2001 each NBA Champion and Finalist has had a QR ≤ 34.
2. Since 2000-2001 each NBA Champion has had a QIR ≤ #9.
3. Since 2000-2001 6 of the 7 NBA Champions have had a QIR ≤ #4. 

What it takes to win the NBA Championship

According to the QIR, there’s a solid chance that this year’s eventual NBA champion will be one of (1) Boston, (2) Detroit, (3) Houston, (T-4) New Orleans, (T-4) Dallas or (T-4) Utah.

However, much like 1994-1995, when the Houston Rockets won the NBA championship as the #6 seed in the Western Conference, after an injury-plagued regular season campaign, and 2000-2001, when the L.A. Lakers played a significant number of regular season games without Kobe Bryant, Derek Fisher & Ron Harper, before winning their final 8 in a row and then going 15-1 in the post-season … given the key injuries sustained at different times this year by (A) Tim Duncan, Tony Parker & Manu Ginobili, and (B) Andrew Bynum … it should not be a surprise to anyone if either (7) San Antonio or the (10) L.A. Lakersboth of which are ‘Top 9’ teams with a healthy roster – rise to challenge and win the title this year.  

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8 Responses to “Legitimate Contenders in the NBA: Part V”

  1. arsenalist Says:

    I don’t know khandor, those quality index ratings are pretty messed up. You can’t tell me the Rockets are 7 spots ahead of the Lakers in any category. The Lakers are behind Philly too?

    Phoenix shouldn’t be behind us and we should be behind Denver. I’m sorry but I don’t give any credibility to these ratings.

  2. khandor Says:

    Arsenalist,

    The Rockets finished the regular season as the NBA’s #4 team in ‘Points Allowed Per Game’ while the Lakers were #19, and the 76ers were #7.

    Although these rankings may seem skewed to you, at first, if you were to analyze each of these three teams, defensively, on the basis of their ability ‘To Limit their Opponent’s Scoring’ within a specific game, I would certainly rate them in the following order:

    1. Houston (PAR – #4)
    2. Philadelphia (PAR – #7)
    3. L.A. (PAR – #19)

    if the Lakers are forced to play without Andrew Bynum (C).

    Secondly, in terms of the QIR’s ability to gauge accurately whether or not Toronto has a more legitimate chance to win the NBA title this year than does either Phoenix or Denver … I would simply ask you the following question:

    Which team do you think has the better opportunity to still be playing in the 2nd Round of the Playoffs in two weeks time …

    A) Phoenix (6/+1080) … if they can beat San Antonio (3/+765)
    B) Denver (8/+5000) … if they can beat Los Angeles (1/+369), or
    C) Toronto (6/+10000) … if they can beat Orlando (3/+3161)?

  3. arsenalist Says:

    I’d say the Suns, didn’t they beat SA 3-1 in the season series?

  4. Nba » Legitimate Contenders to win the NBA championship: Part V Says:

    […] khandor wrote an interesting post today on Legitimate Contenders to win the NBA championship: Part VHere’s a quick excerptHowever, much like 1994-1995, when the Houston Rockets won the NBA championship as the #6 seed in the Western Conference, after an injury-plagued regular season campaign, and 2000-2001, when the LA Lakers played a significant number of … […]

  5. khandor Says:

    Although the money line says that Phoenix (Series Price/+123; Championship Price/+1080) & San Antonio (Series Price/-133; Championship Price/+765) is going to be a close series, perceived to be very winnable by either team … in my opinion this is not the case at all.

    Denver is going to lose to the Lakers, straight-up, and so too are the Suns going down in flames vs the Spurs … i.e. in a series where each of San Antonio’s 4 wins will probably be decided in the final 10 seconds of the game … but they will still end up losing 4 games to San Antonio … you can count on that outcome, 80-90%.

    Although I see Orlando winning their series in 7 … there are actually a number of different ways the Raptors CAN WIN this series and it will be up to Sam Mitchell & Co. to figure them out. If they can, there’s a pretty good chance, say as much as 40%, of Toronto advancing to the 2nd Round … where they will get killed by the Pistons, and further push their team toward ‘the dreaded’ treadmill status, which is really the ‘kiss-of-death’ for any franchise in the NBA.

  6. khandor Says:

    Arsenalist,

    Please take note:

    Game 1 Result

    Phi 90
    Det 86

    Rebounds:

    76ers, 45 (Individual) + 15 (Team) = 60
    Pistons, 43 (Individual) + 6 (Team) = 49

    http://www.nba.com/games/20080420/PHIDET/boxscore.html

    For those who still might not realize where the strengths of this Philly team actually lie … to under-estimate the importance of their ‘Positive Rebounding Differential’ numbers throughout the regular season is to make a serious mis-evaluation of their team.

  7. Boston Celtics, NBA Champions (2007-2008) « Khandor’s Sports Blog Says:

    […] Legitimate Contenders in the NBA: Part V [Apr 18, 2008] […]

  8. khandor Says:

    The Quality Index Ratings (QIR) proved to be on the money, again!

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